Combat Edge Intelligence

Colin Fletcher vs Shaheen Santana

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight148 lbs
Unity GymTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Colin FletcherNow 1540
If they win+12→ 1552
If they lose-12→ 1528
Shaheen SantanaNow 1545
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.10
Sig. strikes / min
0.82
35%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.65
62%
Strike defense
40%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
27%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
2.75

Trajectory

Colin FletcherShaheen Santana
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
11 (69%)
Submission
6 (75%)
4 (25%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Shaheen Santana66%
Colin Fletcher 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Shaheen Santana a 66% favorite over Colin Fletcher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1545), separated by just 5 points.

Shaheen Santana enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Colin Fletcher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Shaheen Santana 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.