Combat Edge Intelligence

Colleen Schneider vs Djulia Ariana

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-8-0Record5-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach66"
132 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

Colleen Schneider is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Djulia Ariana carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Colleen SchneiderNow 1562
If they win+15→ 1577
If they lose-17→ 1545
Djulia ArianaNow 1545
If they win+25→ 1570
If they lose-23→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Colleen SchneiderDjulia Ariana
15501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
3 (27%)
Submission
1 (20%)
4 (36%)
Decision
3 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Djulia Ariana62%
Colleen Schneider 38%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Djulia Ariana a 62% favorite over Colleen Schneider in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Colleen Schneider's way (48%).

Colleen Schneider holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1562 to 1545, a 17-point edge.

Colleen Schneider finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Djulia Ariana 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.