Combat Edge Intelligence

Collin Anglin vs Felipe Arantes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-6-0Record18-10-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
71"Reach73,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Scorpion Fighting SystemTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Collin AnglinNow 1544
If they win+16→ 1560
If they lose-16→ 1528
Felipe ArantesNow 1545
If they win+12→ 1557
If they lose-12→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
2.37
49%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.66
51%
Strike defense
64%
2.28
Takedown avg.
0.93
67%
Takedown accuracy
47%
100%
Takedown defense
41%
0
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Collin AnglinFelipe Arantes
15501600201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
7 (39%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (33%)
3 (33%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Collin Anglin57%
Felipe Arantes 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Collin Anglin a 57% favorite over Felipe Arantes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Felipe Arantes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1545), separated by just 1 points.

Felipe Arantes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Collin Anglin finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Arantes 72%.

Felipe Arantes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.