Combat Edge Intelligence

Collin Hart vs Marcio Cabral

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-4-1Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Nor-Cal Fighting AllianceTeamBonfim Brothers· 1595 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Collin HartNow 1504
If they win+24→ 1528
If they lose-24→ 1480
Marcio CabralNow 1499
If they win+24→ 1523
If they lose-24→ 1475

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
7.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
2
Takedown avg.
TBD
17%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Collin HartMarcio Cabral
145015002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
9 (69%)
4 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcio Cabral70%
Collin Hart 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 70% favorite over Collin Hart in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Collin Hart's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1504 vs 1499), separated by just 5 points.

Collin Hart finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Cabral 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.