Coltin Cole vs Marcio Alexandre Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-6-0Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Finney's HIT SquadTeamAstra Fight Team· 1573 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1463
If they lose-17→ 1431
If they win+25→ 1461
If they lose-23→ 1413
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1482 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Coltin ColeMarcio Alexandre Junior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcio Alexandre Junior57%
Coltin Cole 43%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Alexandre Junior a 57% favorite over Coltin Cole in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Coltin Cole's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1448 vs 1436), separated by just 12 points.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Coltin Cole finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Alexandre Junior 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.