Combat Edge Intelligence

Colton Smith vs Ivan Klevets

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-5-0Record5-3-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight146 lbs
VanguardTeamAnkos MMA· 1671 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Colton SmithNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
Ivan KlevetsNow 1562
If they win+24→ 1586
If they lose-24→ 1538

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.64
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
4.09
Takedown avg.
TBD
36%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
25%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.36
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Colton SmithIvan Klevets
14501500155020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
1 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (57%)
Decision
3 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Ivan Klevets62%
Colton Smith 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Klevets a 62% favorite over Colton Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1562), separated by just 1 points.

Ivan Klevets enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Colton Smith finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Klevets 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.