Colton Smith vs Jakub Dohnal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record13-7-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight145 lbs
VanguardTeamFight Club Brno
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Colton SmithJakub Dohnal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jakub Dohnal57%
Colton Smith 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jakub Dohnal a 57% favorite over Colton Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Colton Smith's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1559), separated by just 2 points.
Colton Smith finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Jakub Dohnal 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.