Connor Cyphert vs T.J. Schaefer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record4-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
T.J. Schaefer is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +18 while a loss costs more — Connor Cyphert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+30→ 1554
If they lose-18→ 1506
If they win+18→ 1624
If they lose-30→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Connor CyphertT.J. Schaefer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
T.J. Schaefer55%
Connor Cyphert 45%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes T.J. Schaefer a 55% favorite over Connor Cyphert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
T.J. Schaefer holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1606 to 1524, a 82-point edge.
T.J. Schaefer enters on a 4-fight win streak.
T.J. Schaefer 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.