Connor Cyphert vs T.J. Schaefer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record3-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
T.J. Schaefer is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Connor Cyphert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1577
If they lose-22→ 1529
If they win+22→ 1601
If they lose-26→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Connor CyphertT.J. Schaefer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
T.J. Schaefer58%
Connor Cyphert 42%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes T.J. Schaefer a 58% favorite over Connor Cyphert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
T.J. Schaefer holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1579 to 1551, a 28-point edge.
Connor Cyphert enters on a 2-fight win streak.
T.J. Schaefer enters on a 3-fight win streak.
T.J. Schaefer 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.