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Combat Edge Intelligence

Connor Hughes vs David Bielkheden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record26-13-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
The MMA Academy Liverpool· 1636 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAllstars Training Center· 1648 avg Elo · 9 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Connor HughesNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
David BielkhedenNow 1634
If they win+12→ 1646
If they lose-12→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.11
Not available
Strike accuracy
57%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.64
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.65
Not available
Takedown accuracy
64%
Not available
Takedown defense
14%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Connor HughesDavid Bielkheden
160016501700201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
12 (46%)
4 (33%)
Submission
4 (15%)
2 (17%)
Decision
10 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Connor Hughes71%
David Bielkheden 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Connor Hughes a 71% favorite over David Bielkheden in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Bielkheden's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1634), separated by just 1 points.

Connor Hughes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Connor Hughes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, David Bielkheden 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.