Connor Hughes vs John Gunther
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record5-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73"Reach39,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The MMA Academy Liverpool· 1632 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamStrong Style Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-24→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Connor HughesJohn Gunther
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Connor Hughes66%
John Gunther 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Connor Hughes a 66% favorite over John Gunther in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1635), separated by just 0 points.
Connor Hughes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Connor Hughes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, John Gunther 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.