Connor Hughes vs Mandel Nallo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record14-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
73"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The MMA Academy Liverpool· 1632 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Connor HughesMandel Nallo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Connor Hughes59%
Mandel Nallo 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Connor Hughes a 59% favorite over Mandel Nallo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1634), separated by just 1 points.
Connor Hughes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Connor Hughes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Mandel Nallo 100%.
Mandel Nallo carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.