Combat Edge Intelligence

Connor Matthews vs Jose Delgado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record11-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'11"
71"Reach 73"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Lakeville MMA & FitnessTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Jose Delgado is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Connor Matthews carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Connor MatthewsNow 1562
If they win+22→ 1584
If they lose-10→ 1552
Jose DelgadoNow 1693
If they win+10→ 1703
If they lose-22→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.08
Sig. strikes / min
7.48
43%
Strike accuracy
55%
6.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.95
56%
Strike defense
50%
3.46
Takedown avg.
1.51
56%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
50%
0.69
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Connor MatthewsJose Delgado
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
5 (71%)
Submission
4 (36%)
1 (14%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Jose Delgado88%
Connor Matthews 12%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Jose Delgado a 88% favorite over Connor Matthews in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Jose Delgado holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1562, a 131-point edge.

Connor Matthews enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Connor Matthews finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jose Delgado 91%.

Jose Delgado carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.