Combat Edge Intelligence

Connor Matthews vs Jose Delgado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record12-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'11"
71"Reach 73"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs

What's at stake

Jose Delgado is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Connor Matthews carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Connor MatthewsNow 1561
If they win+23→ 1584
If they lose-9→ 1552
Jose DelgadoNow 1713
If they win+9→ 1722
If they lose-23→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.08
Sig. strikes / min
6.07
43%
Strike accuracy
53%
6.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.18
56%
Strike defense
53%
3.46
Takedown avg.
1.37
56%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
63%
0.69
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Connor MatthewsJose Delgado
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
5 (71%)
Submission
4 (33%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Jose Delgado86%
Connor Matthews 14%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Jose Delgado a 86% favorite over Connor Matthews in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Jose Delgado holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1561, a 152-point edge.

Connor Matthews enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jose Delgado enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Connor Matthews finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jose Delgado 83%.

Jose Delgado carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.