Combat Edge Intelligence

Connor Matthews vs Josh Clopton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Clopton
us

Josh Clopton

“The Gentleman”

6-2-1FeatherweightUFC

1562Solid

Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record6-2-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lakeville MMA & FitnessTeamSkrap Pack

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Connor MatthewsNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
Josh CloptonNow 1562
If they win+24→ 1586
If they lose-24→ 1538

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.08
Sig. strikes / min
1.60
43%
Strike accuracy
64%
6.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
56%
Strike defense
50%
3.46
Takedown avg.
2
56%
Takedown accuracy
67%
50%
Takedown defense
75%
0.69
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Connor MatthewsJosh Clopton
1550160020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (71%)
Submission
2 (33%)
1 (14%)
Decision
4 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Connor Matthews and Josh Clopton within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1562), separated by just 0 points.

Connor Matthews enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Clopton enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Connor Matthews finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Josh Clopton 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.