Connor Matthews vs Theo Rlayang
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record5-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
71"Reach37,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lakeville MMA & FitnessTeamGreensboro Judo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Connor MatthewsTheo Rlayang
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Theo Rlayang63%
Connor Matthews 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Theo Rlayang a 63% favorite over Connor Matthews in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Connor Matthews's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1555), separated by just 6 points.
Connor Matthews enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Theo Rlayang enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Connor Matthews finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Theo Rlayang 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.