Combat Edge Intelligence

Connor Matthews vs Wael Kambouche

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record2-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lakeville MMA & FitnessTeamAtch Academy· 1646 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Connor MatthewsNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
Wael KamboucheNow 1555
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.08
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
43%
Strike accuracy
Not available
6.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
3.46
Takedown avg.
Not available
56%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.69
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Connor MatthewsWael Kambouche
15501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
5 (71%)
Submission
1 (50%)
1 (14%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Connor Matthews55%
Wael Kambouche 45%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Connor Matthews a 55% favorite over Wael Kambouche in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1555), separated by just 6 points.

Connor Matthews enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Wael Kambouche enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Connor Matthews finishes 86% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.