Connor Matthews vs Yadier del Valle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record11-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
What's at stake
Yadier del Valle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Connor Matthews carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1584
If they lose-9→ 1552
If they win+9→ 1728
If they lose-23→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Connor MatthewsYadier del Valle
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yadier del Valle92%
Connor Matthews 8%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Yadier del Valle a 92% favorite over Connor Matthews in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Yadier del Valle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1561, a 158-point edge.
Connor Matthews enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Connor Matthews finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Yadier del Valle 64%.
Connor Matthews carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.