Combat Edge Intelligence

Connor Tymon vs David Zawada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-Reach75"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Connor TymonNow 1563
If they win+24→ 1587
If they lose-24→ 1539
David ZawadaNow 1564
If they win+12→ 1576
If they lose-12→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
Not available
Strike accuracy
41%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
Not available
Strike defense
56%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.97
Not available
Takedown accuracy
17%
Not available
Takedown defense
57%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Connor TymonDavid Zawada
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
12 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Connor Tymon66%
David Zawada 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Connor Tymon a 66% favorite over David Zawada in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Zawada's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1564), separated by just 1 points.

Connor Tymon enters on a 2-fight win streak.

David Zawada 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.