Combat Edge Intelligence

Conor McCarthy vs Hazem Kayyali

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record3-0-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
-Reach-
158 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG NaasTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Conor McCarthyNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
Hazem KayyaliNow 1606
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Conor McCarthyHazem Kayyali
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (33%)
3 (50%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Conor McCarthy and Hazem Kayyali within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1606), separated by just 1 points.

Hazem Kayyali enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Conor McCarthy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Hazem Kayyali 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.