Conor McCarthy vs John Gunther
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record5-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
-Reach39,5"
158 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-24→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Conor McCarthyJohn Gunther
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Conor McCarthy63%
John Gunther 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Conor McCarthy a 63% favorite over John Gunther in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1635), separated by just 1 points.
Conor McCarthy finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, John Gunther 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.