Combat Edge Intelligence

Conor McCarthy vs Kendly St. Louis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record11-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-Reach77”
158 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG NaasTeamAmerican Top Team Sunrise

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Conor McCarthyNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
Kendly St. LouisNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Conor McCarthyKendly St. Louis
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (45%)
3 (50%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Conor McCarthy61%
Kendly St. Louis 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Conor McCarthy a 61% favorite over Kendly St. Louis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1604), separated by just 3 points.

Kendly St. Louis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Conor McCarthy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kendly St. Louis 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.