Combat Edge Intelligence

Conor McCarthy vs Rayan Atmani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-Reach73"
158 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Conor McCarthyNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
Rayan AtmaniNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Conor McCarthyRayan Atmani
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (17%)
3 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Conor McCarthy and Rayan Atmani within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1604), separated by just 3 points.

Rayan Atmani enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Conor McCarthy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rayan Atmani 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.