Conor McGregor vs Dennis Siver
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record23-11-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
74"Reach70,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamKiboju
What's at stake
Conor McGregor is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Dennis Siver carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1785
If they lose-21→ 1753
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-8→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1751 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Conor McGregorDennis Siver
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Conor McGregor84%
Dennis Siver 16%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Conor McGregor a 84% favorite over Dennis Siver in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Conor McGregor holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1774 to 1668, a 106-point edge.
Conor McGregor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Conor McGregor finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Dennis Siver 61%.
Conor McGregor and Dennis Siver share 1 common opponent: Donald Cerrone.
Conor McGregor carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.