Conor McGregor vs Diego Brandao
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record29-21-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
74"Reach38,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Conor McGregor is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Diego Brandao carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1783
If they lose-23→ 1751
If they win+17→ 1621
If they lose-7→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1751 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Conor McGregorDiego Brandao
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Conor McGregor92%
Diego Brandao 8%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Conor McGregor a 92% favorite over Diego Brandao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Conor McGregor holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1774 to 1604, a 170-point edge.
Conor McGregor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Conor McGregor finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Diego Brandao 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.