Combat Edge Intelligence

Conor McGregor vs Jack Della Maddalena

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-7-0Record18-4-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
74"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamScrappy MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Conor McGregorNow 1774
If they win+16→ 1790
If they lose-16→ 1758
Jack Della MaddalenaNow 1777
If they win+16→ 1793
If they lose-16→ 1761

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1751 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.32
Sig. strikes / min
0
50%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.53
54%
Strike defense
64%
0.67
Takedown avg.
0.16
56%
Takedown accuracy
11%
67%
Takedown defense
69%
0.13
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Conor McGregorJack Della Maddalena
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

19 (86%)
KO/TKO
12 (67%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (11%)
2 (9%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Della Maddalena60%
Conor McGregor 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Della Maddalena a 60% favorite over Conor McGregor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1774 vs 1777), separated by just 3 points.

Conor McGregor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jack Della Maddalena enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Conor McGregor finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Jack Della Maddalena 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.