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Combat Edge Intelligence

Conor McGregor vs Marcus Brimage

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-7-0Record7-8-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'4"
74"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
SBG IrelandTeam

What's at stake

Conor McGregor is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Marcus Brimage carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Conor McGregorNow 1773
If they win+7→ 1780
If they lose-25→ 1748
Marcus BrimageNow 1542
If they win+25→ 1567
If they lose-7→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1750 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.32
Sig. strikes / min
3.97
50%
Strike accuracy
36%
4.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
54%
Strike defense
57%
0.67
Takedown avg.
0.56
56%
Takedown accuracy
100%
67%
Takedown defense
80%
0.13
Submission avg.
0

Win method breakdown

19 (86%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
1 (5%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (9%)
Decision
4 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Conor McGregor87%
Marcus Brimage 13%Elo baseline: 79%

The Combat Edge model makes Conor McGregor a 87% favorite over Marcus Brimage in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).

Conor McGregor holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1773 to 1542, a 231-point edge.

Conor McGregor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marcus Brimage enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Conor McGregor finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Brimage 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.