Conor McGregor vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record32-14-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'3"
74"Reach80"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1789
If they lose-16→ 1757
If they win+12→ 1781
If they lose-12→ 1757
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1750 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Conor McGregorNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Conor McGregor55%
Neil Magny 45%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Conor McGregor a 55% favorite over Neil Magny in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1773 vs 1769), separated by just 4 points.
Conor McGregor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Conor McGregor finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 47%.
Neil Magny carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.