Combat Edge Intelligence

Conor McGregor vs Ramazan Kuramagomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-7-0Record14-0-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
74"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Conor McGregorNow 1774
If they win+16→ 1790
If they lose-16→ 1758
Ramazan KuramagomedovNow 1773
If they win+16→ 1789
If they lose-16→ 1757

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1751 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.32
Sig. strikes / min
11.67
50%
Strike accuracy
68%
4.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.13
54%
Strike defense
54%
0.67
Takedown avg.
1
56%
Takedown accuracy
14%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0.13
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Conor McGregorRamazan Kuramagomedov
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

19 (86%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
1 (5%)
Submission
6 (43%)
2 (9%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Ramazan Kuramagomedov60%
Conor McGregor 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ramazan Kuramagomedov a 60% favorite over Conor McGregor in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Conor McGregor's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1774 vs 1773), separated by just 1 points.

Conor McGregor enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ramazan Kuramagomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Conor McGregor finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Ramazan Kuramagomedov 57%.

Conor McGregor carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.