Combat Edge Intelligence

Corey Anderson vs Fábio Maldonado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record28-18-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
79"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight227 lbs
The Kennel Fight ClubTeamTeam Maldonado

What's at stake

Corey Anderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Fábio Maldonado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Corey AndersonNow 1787
If they win+5→ 1792
If they lose-19→ 1768
Fábio MaldonadoNow 1563
If they win+19→ 1582
If they lose-5→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.43
Sig. strikes / min
5.29
46%
Strike accuracy
59%
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.31
59%
Strike defense
54%
4.89
Takedown avg.
0.44
50%
Takedown accuracy
57%
83%
Takedown defense
62%
0
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Corey AndersonFábio Maldonado
160017001800202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
19 (68%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (7%)
11 (55%)
Decision
7 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Corey Anderson92%
Fábio Maldonado 8%Elo baseline: 78%

The Combat Edge model makes Corey Anderson a 92% favorite over Fábio Maldonado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).

Corey Anderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1787 to 1563, a 224-point edge.

Corey Anderson enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Corey Anderson finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Fábio Maldonado 75%.

Corey Anderson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.