Combat Edge Intelligence

Corey Anderson vs Gian Villante

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record17-14-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
79"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight261 lbs
The Kennel Fight ClubTeamBellmore Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Corey Anderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Gian Villante carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Corey AndersonNow 1787
If they win+6→ 1793
If they lose-18→ 1769
Gian VillanteNow 1582
If they win+18→ 1600
If they lose-6→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.43
Sig. strikes / min
4.38
46%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.47
59%
Strike defense
55%
4.89
Takedown avg.
0.45
50%
Takedown accuracy
23%
83%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Corey AndersonGian Villante
16001650170017501800202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
10 (59%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (12%)
11 (55%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Corey Anderson88%
Gian Villante 12%Elo baseline: 77%

The Combat Edge model makes Corey Anderson a 88% favorite over Gian Villante in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).

Corey Anderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1787 to 1582, a 205-point edge.

Corey Anderson enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Corey Anderson finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Gian Villante 71%.

Corey Anderson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.