Combat Edge Intelligence

Corey Anderson vs Jan Błachowicz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record29-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
79"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
The Kennel Fight ClubTeamWCA Fight Team

What's at stake

Corey Anderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jan Błachowicz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Corey AndersonNow 1787
If they win+11→ 1798
If they lose-13→ 1774
Jan BłachowiczNow 1748
If they win+13→ 1761
If they lose-11→ 1737

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1765 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.43
Sig. strikes / min
3.55
46%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
59%
Strike defense
52%
4.89
Takedown avg.
0.98
50%
Takedown accuracy
31%
83%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Corey AndersonJan Błachowicz
17501800202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
9 (31%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (31%)
11 (55%)
Decision
11 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Corey Anderson73%
Jan Błachowicz 27%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Corey Anderson a 73% favorite over Jan Błachowicz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Corey Anderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1787 to 1748, a 39-point edge.

Corey Anderson enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Corey Anderson finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Jan Błachowicz 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.