Combat Edge Intelligence

Corey Anderson vs Matt Van Buren

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record7-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
79"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
The Kennel Fight ClubTeamTeam Gutter

What's at stake

Corey Anderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Matt Van Buren carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Corey AndersonNow 1787
If they win+4→ 1791
If they lose-20→ 1767
Matt Van BurenNow 1493
If they win+27→ 1520
If they lose-5→ 1488

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.43
Sig. strikes / min
7.73
46%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.82
59%
Strike defense
49%
4.89
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
83%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Corey AndersonMatt Van Buren
150016001700180020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (29%)
11 (55%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Corey Anderson85%
Matt Van Buren 15%Elo baseline: 84%

The Combat Edge model makes Corey Anderson a 85% favorite over Matt Van Buren in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (84%).

Corey Anderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1787 to 1493, a 294-point edge.

Corey Anderson enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Matt Van Buren enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Corey Anderson finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Matt Van Buren 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.