Combat Edge Intelligence

Corey Anderson vs Ovince St. Preux

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record27-18-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
79"Reach80″
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
The Kennel Fight ClubTeamKnoxville MMA

What's at stake

Corey Anderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ovince St. Preux carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Corey AndersonNow 1787
If they win+8→ 1795
If they lose-16→ 1771
Ovince St. PreuxNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-8→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.43
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
46%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
59%
Strike defense
48%
4.89
Takedown avg.
1.09
50%
Takedown accuracy
36%
83%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Corey AndersonOvince St. Preux
170017501800202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
12 (44%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (30%)
11 (55%)
Decision
7 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Corey Anderson88%
Ovince St. Preux 12%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Corey Anderson a 88% favorite over Ovince St. Preux in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Corey Anderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1787 to 1678, a 109-point edge.

Corey Anderson enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Corey Anderson finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Ovince St. Preux 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.