Combat Edge Intelligence

Corey Anderson vs Reinier de Ridder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record22-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
79"Reach 78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
The Kennel Fight ClubTeamCombat Brothers

What's at stake

Corey Anderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Reinier de Ridder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Corey AndersonNow 1787
If they win+11→ 1798
If they lose-13→ 1774
Reinier de RidderNow 1770
If they win+17→ 1787
If they lose-15→ 1755

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1705 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1722 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.43
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
46%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.36
59%
Strike defense
47%
4.89
Takedown avg.
2.56
50%
Takedown accuracy
10%
83%
Takedown defense
40%
0
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Corey AndersonReinier de Ridder
1700175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
6 (27%)
0 (0%)
Submission
13 (59%)
11 (55%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Reinier de Ridder56%
Corey Anderson 44%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Reinier de Ridder a 56% favorite over Corey Anderson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Corey Anderson's way (48%).

Corey Anderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1787 to 1770, a 17-point edge.

Corey Anderson enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Corey Anderson finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Reinier de Ridder 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.