Corey Anderson vs Ryan Bader
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record31-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
79"Reach74,0"
205 lbsWeight232 lbs
The Kennel Fight ClubTeamPower MMA Team
What's at stake
Ryan Bader is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Corey Anderson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1800
If they lose-11→ 1776
If they win+11→ 1834
If they lose-13→ 1810
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1732 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Corey AndersonRyan Bader
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Corey Anderson73%
Ryan Bader 27%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Corey Anderson a 73% favorite over Ryan Bader in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Bader's way (45%).
Ryan Bader holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1787, a 36-point edge.
Corey Anderson enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Corey Anderson finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Bader 52%.
Corey Anderson and Ryan Bader share 1 common opponent: Vadim Nemkov.
Corey Anderson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.