Combat Edge Intelligence

Corey Anderson vs Sean O'Connell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sean O'Connell
us

Sean O'Connell

“The Real OC”

21-10-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1630Solid

Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record21-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
79"Reach74,0"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
The Kennel Fight ClubTeamTBD

What's at stake

Corey Anderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Sean O'Connell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Corey AndersonNow 1787
If they win+7→ 1794
If they lose-17→ 1770
Sean O'ConnellNow 1630
If they win+17→ 1647
If they lose-7→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.43
Sig. strikes / min
5.46
46%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.77
59%
Strike defense
45%
4.89
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
83%
Takedown defense
30%
0
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Corey AndersonSean O'Connell
16001650170017501800201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
12 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (14%)
11 (55%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Corey Anderson84%
Sean O'Connell 16%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Corey Anderson a 84% favorite over Sean O'Connell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Corey Anderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1787 to 1630, a 157-point edge.

Corey Anderson enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Sean O'Connell enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Corey Anderson finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Sean O'Connell 71%.

Corey Anderson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.