Combat Edge Intelligence

Corey Anderson vs Tom Lawlor

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tom Lawlor
us

Tom Lawlor

“Filthy”

11-8-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1583Solid

Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record11-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
79"Reach74,0"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
The Kennel Fight ClubTeamThe Jungle MMA

What's at stake

Corey Anderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Tom Lawlor carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Corey AndersonNow 1787
If they win+6→ 1793
If they lose-18→ 1769
Tom LawlorNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-8→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.43
Sig. strikes / min
2.50
46%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.41
59%
Strike defense
61%
4.89
Takedown avg.
2.46
50%
Takedown accuracy
32%
83%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
1.38

Trajectory

Corey AndersonTom Lawlor
1600170018002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (36%)
11 (55%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Corey Anderson88%
Tom Lawlor 12%Elo baseline: 76%

The Combat Edge model makes Corey Anderson a 88% favorite over Tom Lawlor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).

Corey Anderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1787 to 1583, a 204-point edge.

Corey Anderson enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Corey Anderson finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Tom Lawlor 73%.

Corey Anderson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.