Corey Hill vs Dale Hartt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-9-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'4"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
168 lbsWeight155 lbs
KO EvolutionTeamTeam Sityodtong
What's at stake
Corey Hill is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Dale Hartt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1537
If they lose-17→ 1505
If they win+25→ 1530
If they lose-23→ 1482
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Corey HillDale Hartt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Corey Hill57%
Dale Hartt 43%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Corey Hill a 57% favorite over Dale Hartt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Corey Hill holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1522 to 1505, a 17-point edge.
Corey Hill enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Dale Hartt enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Corey Hill finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Dale Hartt 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.