Combat Edge Intelligence

Cornel Thompson vs Dom Mar Fan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dom Mar Fan
au

Dom Mar Fan

“Street Buddha”

9-3-0LightweightUFC

1630Solid

Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record9-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
68"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Compton Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cornel ThompsonNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Dom Mar FanNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
56%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.49
TBD
Strike defense
44%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Cornel ThompsonDom Mar Fan
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
1 (9%)
Submission
3 (33%)
9 (82%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cornel Thompson and Dom Mar Fan within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1630), separated by just 2 points.

Cornel Thompson enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Cornel Thompson finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Dom Mar Fan 44%.

Dom Mar Fan carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.