Cornel Thompson vs Stevie Ray
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record26-13-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamHigher Level MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cornel ThompsonStevie Ray
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stevie Ray61%
Cornel Thompson 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Stevie Ray a 61% favorite over Cornel Thompson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cornel Thompson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.
Cornel Thompson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Stevie Ray enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cornel Thompson finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Stevie Ray 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.