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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cornel Thompson vs Áureo Cruz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Áureo Cruz
ao

Áureo Cruz

“Xerife”

3-1-0LightweightPFL

1546Average

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record3-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68"Reach63"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TeamNew Generation MMA

What's at stake

Cornel Thompson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Áureo Cruz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cornel ThompsonNow 1615
If they win+13→ 1628
If they lose-19→ 1596
Áureo CruzNow 1546
If they win+29→ 1575
If they lose-19→ 1527

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Cornel ThompsonÁureo Cruz
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
1 (9%)
Submission
1 (33%)
9 (82%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Cornel Thompson56%
Áureo Cruz 44%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Cornel Thompson a 56% favorite over Áureo Cruz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Cornel Thompson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1546, a 69-point edge.

Cornel Thompson finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Áureo Cruz 67%.

Cornel Thompson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.