Combat Edge Intelligence

Cortney Casey vs Cristina Stanciu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-10-0Record5-3-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'5"
67"Reach64,0"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
MMA LabTeamPlanet Eater

What's at stake

Cortney Casey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Cristina Stanciu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cortney CaseyNow 1571
If they win+14→ 1585
If they lose-18→ 1553
Cristina StanciuNow 1526
If they win+27→ 1553
If they lose-21→ 1505

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.29
Sig. strikes / min
2.50
39%
Strike accuracy
50%
4
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.07
55%
Strike defense
52%
0.39
Takedown avg.
0.85
31%
Takedown accuracy
100%
40%
Takedown defense
40%
0.47
Submission avg.
1.70

Trajectory

Cortney CaseyCristina Stanciu
155016002016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
4 (40%)
Submission
3 (60%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Cortney Casey52%
Cristina Stanciu 48%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Cortney Casey a 52% favorite over Cristina Stanciu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Cortney Casey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1571 to 1526, a 45-point edge.

Cristina Stanciu enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cortney Casey finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Cristina Stanciu 80%.

Cortney Casey carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.