Combat Edge Intelligence

Cortney Casey vs Denise Kielholtz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-10-0Record9-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'3"
67"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight124 lbs
MMA LabTeamSports Academy Schreiber

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cortney CaseyNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555
Denise KielholtzNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.29
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
0.39
Takedown avg.
TBD
31%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
40%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.47
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cortney CaseyDenise Kielholtz
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
4 (40%)
Submission
3 (33%)
3 (30%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Denise Kielholtz66%
Cortney Casey 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Denise Kielholtz a 66% favorite over Cortney Casey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1572), separated by just 1 points.

Denise Kielholtz enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Cortney Casey finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Denise Kielholtz 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.