Cortney Casey vs Felice Herrig
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-10-0Record14-10-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'4"
67"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
MMA LabTeamTeam Curran
What's at stake
Cortney Casey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Felice Herrig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1586
If they lose-17→ 1554
If they win+17→ 1573
If they lose-15→ 1541
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cortney CaseyFelice Herrig
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cortney Casey60%
Felice Herrig 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Cortney Casey a 60% favorite over Felice Herrig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Cortney Casey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1571 to 1556, a 15-point edge.
Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Cortney Casey finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Felice Herrig 36%.
Cortney Casey and Felice Herrig share 1 common opponent: Michelle Waterson-Gomez.
Cortney Casey carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.