Combat Edge Intelligence

Cortney Casey vs Melissa Gatto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-10-0Record9-3-2
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
67"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
MMA LabTeamMSP

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cortney CaseyNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555
Melissa GattoNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.29
Sig. strikes / min
3.78
39%
Strike accuracy
50%
4
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.84
55%
Strike defense
54%
0.39
Takedown avg.
1.47
31%
Takedown accuracy
29%
40%
Takedown defense
64%
0.47
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Cortney CaseyMelissa Gatto
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
4 (40%)
Submission
4 (44%)
3 (30%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Gatto62%
Cortney Casey 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Gatto a 62% favorite over Cortney Casey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cortney Casey's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1571), separated by just 0 points.

Cortney Casey finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Gatto 78%.

Melissa Gatto carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.