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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cory Hendricks vs Paulin Begai

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paulin Begai
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Paulin Begai

“Le Chaat”

8-5-1Light HeavyweightAFC

1581Solid

Tale of the tape

9-6-0Record8-5-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'5"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cory HendricksNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566
Paulin BegaiNow 1581
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
40%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
43%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
100%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Cory HendricksPaulin Begai
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
5 (56%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (11%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Cory Hendricks57%
Paulin Begai 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cory Hendricks a 57% favorite over Paulin Begai in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1581), separated by just 1 points.

Cory Hendricks enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cory Hendricks finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Paulin Begai 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.