Combat Edge Intelligence

Cory McKenna vs Julia Polastri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record14-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'2"
58"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamCWB Fighter

What's at stake

Julia Polastri is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Cory McKenna carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cory McKennaNow 1602
If they win+18→ 1620
If they lose-14→ 1588
Julia PolastriNow 1648
If they win+14→ 1662
If they lose-18→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
6.40
39%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.40
46%
Strike defense
57%
2
Takedown avg.
0.73
48%
Takedown accuracy
80%
75%
Takedown defense
61%
0.36
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Cory McKennaJulia Polastri
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
2 (25%)
Submission
3 (21%)
4 (50%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Julia Polastri63%
Cory McKenna 37%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Julia Polastri a 63% favorite over Cory McKenna in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Julia Polastri holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1602, a 46-point edge.

Cory McKenna enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cory McKenna finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Julia Polastri 57%.

Julia Polastri carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.