Cory McKenna vs Julia Polastri
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record15-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'2"
58"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamCWB Fighter
What's at stake
Julia Polastri is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Cory McKenna carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1621
If they lose-13→ 1589
If they win+13→ 1680
If they lose-19→ 1648
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cory McKennaJulia Polastri
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julia Polastri67%
Cory McKenna 33%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Julia Polastri a 67% favorite over Cory McKenna in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Julia Polastri holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1602, a 65-point edge.
Cory McKenna enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cory McKenna finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Julia Polastri 60%.
Julia Polastri carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.