Cory McKenna vs Kay Hansen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record8-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'3"
58"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeam10th Planet Jiu-Jitsu Buena Park
What's at stake
Cory McKenna is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Kay Hansen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1617
If they lose-17→ 1585
If they win+17→ 1599
If they lose-15→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cory McKennaKay Hansen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kay Hansen60%
Cory McKenna 40%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Kay Hansen a 60% favorite over Cory McKenna in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cory McKenna's way (47%).
Cory McKenna holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1602 to 1582, a 20-point edge.
Cory McKenna enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cory McKenna finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kay Hansen 75%.
Kay Hansen carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.