Combat Edge Intelligence

Cory McKenna vs Kay Hansen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record8-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'3"
58"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeam10th Planet Jiu-Jitsu Buena Park

What's at stake

Cory McKenna is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Kay Hansen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cory McKennaNow 1602
If they win+15→ 1617
If they lose-17→ 1585
Kay HansenNow 1578
If they win+17→ 1595
If they lose-15→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
3.01
39%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.19
46%
Strike defense
52%
2
Takedown avg.
1.83
48%
Takedown accuracy
23%
75%
Takedown defense
38%
0.36
Submission avg.
0.78

Trajectory

Cory McKennaKay Hansen
15501600165020232024

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
2 (25%)
Submission
4 (50%)
4 (50%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cory McKenna and Kay Hansen within a point of even.

Cory McKenna holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1602 to 1578, a 24-point edge.

Cory McKenna enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cory McKenna finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kay Hansen 75%.

Kay Hansen carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.