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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cory Peterson vs Mac Papalii

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record2-0-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
316 lbsWeight273 lbs
LA BoxingTeamBattle Box· 1575 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Mac Papalii is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Cory Peterson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cory PetersonNow 1499
If they win+28→ 1527
If they lose-20→ 1479
Mac PapaliiNow 1555
If they win+20→ 1575
If they lose-28→ 1527

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Cory PetersonMac Papalii
150015502005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mac Papalii75%
Cory Peterson 25%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Mac Papalii a 75% favorite over Cory Peterson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Mac Papalii holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1555 to 1499, a 56-point edge.

Mac Papalii enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.