Combat Edge Intelligence

Cory Sandhagen vs Merab Dvalishvili

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record21-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'6"
70"Reach 68"
140 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team

What's at stake

Merab Dvalishvili is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Cory Sandhagen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cory SandhagenNow 1753
If they win+15→ 1768
If they lose-9→ 1744
Merab DvalishviliNow 1843
If they win+9→ 1852
If they lose-15→ 1828

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1775 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1789 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.86
Sig. strikes / min
4.42
45%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
57%
Strike defense
54%
1.15
Takedown avg.
5.97
35%
Takedown accuracy
5%
56%
Takedown defense
76%
0.25
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Cory SandhagenMerab Dvalishvili
175018001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
3 (17%)
Submission
2 (10%)
7 (39%)
Decision
16 (76%)

Combat Edge model read

Merab Dvalishvili70%
Cory Sandhagen 30%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Merab Dvalishvili a 70% favorite over Cory Sandhagen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Merab Dvalishvili holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1843 to 1753, a 90-point edge.

Cory Sandhagen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cory Sandhagen finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Merab Dvalishvili 24%.

Cory Sandhagen and Merab Dvalishvili share 2 common opponents: Umar Nurmagomedov and Petr Yan.

Cory Sandhagen carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Petr Yan
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Umar Nurmagomedov
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025