Cory Sandhagen vs Raphael Assunção
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record28-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'5"
70"Reach66"
140 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Cory Sandhagen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Raphael Assunção carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1763
If they lose-14→ 1739
If they win+14→ 1721
If they lose-10→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1775 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1700 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cory SandhagenRaphael Assunção
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cory Sandhagen84%
Raphael Assunção 16%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Cory Sandhagen a 84% favorite over Raphael Assunção in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Cory Sandhagen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1753 to 1707, a 46-point edge.
Cory Sandhagen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cory Sandhagen finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Assunção 50%.
Cory Sandhagen and Raphael Assunção share 1 common opponent: Rob Font.
Cory Sandhagen carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.